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Hull City v Birmingham City prediction

Sat 18 Apr, 15:00 Championship Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Hull City to win 43%
Hull 42% Draw 27% Birmingham 31%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceHull City to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Hull City All games L W D D L
0–3 at WBA 3–1 v SHF 1–1 at OXF 0–0 v CVC 1–2 at SHU
Birmingham City All games D L L L W
1–1 v SHU 0–1 at DRB 0–1 v BBR 1–2 at IPS 2–0 v WXH

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 5 of Hull City's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Birmingham City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerHullDrawBirmingham
WilliamHill 2.45 3.25 2.75
bet365 2.45 3.40 2.80
Betfair 1.57 3.75 6.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Hull City v Birmingham City: prediction and result

Hull City hosted Birmingham City in the Championship on Saturday 18 April, and it finished 1–1.

Hull City are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Sheffield United.

Birmingham City are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Wrexham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.45 for Hull, 3.75 for the draw and 6.00 for Birmingham. The bookmakers make Hull City favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Hull City to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.35, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Championship table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.