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Barrow v Newport County prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Barrow to win 41%
Barrow 41% Draw 26% Newport 33%
Best price2.90 WilliamHill Fair price2.44 from our 41%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBarrow to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Barrow All games L L W L L
0–1 v CST 2–3 at BNT 3–2 v OAT 1–3 v WSL 0–3 at CMU
Newport County All games L L W L W
0–2 v CRT 1–3 at NOT 2–1 v HAT 0–1 at CTT 3–2 v OAT

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Barrow's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newport County's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBarrowDrawNewport
WilliamHill 2.90 3.30 2.30
bet365 2.80 3.30 2.45
Betfair 1.62 3.75 5.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Barrow v Newport County: prediction and result

Barrow hosted Newport County in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and Newport County won 1–2 away from home.

Barrow are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 12 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Cambridge United.

Newport County are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 3–2 win at home to Oldham Athletic.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Barrow, 3.75 for the draw and 5.00 for Newport. The bookmakers make Barrow favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Barrow to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.90 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.44, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.