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Swindon Town v Chesterfield prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 League Two Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Chesterfield to win 43%
Swindon 31% Draw 26% Chesterfield 43%
Best price2.10 Betfair Fair price2.35 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 45%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChesterfield to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Swindon Town All games D W L D L
1–1 at CMU 2–1 v WSL 0–3 at CLU 2–2 v ACC 0–4 at GBT
Chesterfield All games W D W D W
1–0 at BRW 1–1 v TRR 2–1 v GBT 1–1 at FLT 2–0 v CAX

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 6 of Swindon Town's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Chesterfield's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSwindonDrawChesterfield
WilliamHill 3.25 3.60 2.00
Betfair 3.25 3.50 2.10
bet365 3.25 3.60 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Swindon Town v Chesterfield: prediction and result

Swindon Town hosted Chesterfield in the League Two on Saturday 2 May, and Chesterfield won 1–2 away from home.

Swindon Town are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–4 defeat away at Grimsby Town.

Chesterfield are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to Crewe Alexandra.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.25 for Swindon, 3.60 for the draw and 2.10 for Chesterfield. The bookmakers make Chesterfield favourites, at about 45% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chesterfield to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 45% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.10 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.35. The pick won.

How our predictions work · League Two table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.