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Tottenham Hotspur v Leeds United prediction

Mon 11 May, 20:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Tottenham Hotspur to win 48%
Tottenham 48% Draw 26% Leeds 26%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price2.10 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceTottenham Hotspur to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Tottenham Hotspur All games L L D W W
0–3 v NFO 0–1 at SUN 2–2 v BHA 1–0 at WOL 2–1 at AVL
Leeds United All games D W W D W
0–0 v BRE 2–1 at MUN 3–0 v WOL 2–2 at BOU 3–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerTottenhamDrawLeeds
WilliamHill 1.83 3.50 4.20
bet365 1.83 3.70 4.20
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Tottenham Hotspur v Leeds United: prediction and result

Tottenham Hotspur hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Monday 11 May, and it finished 1–1.

Tottenham Hotspur are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Aston Villa.

Leeds United are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Tottenham, 3.70 for the draw and 4.20 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Tottenham Hotspur favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Tottenham Hotspur to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.10. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.