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Everton v Sunderland prediction

Sun 17 May, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Everton to win 46%
Everton 46% Draw 27% Sunderland 27%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price2.17 from our 46%

How we got to 46%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 46%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games D L L D D
2–2 at BRE 1–2 v LIV 1–2 at WHU 3–3 v MCI 2–2 at CRY
Sunderland All games W L L D D
1–0 v TOT 3–4 at AVL 0–5 v NFO 1–1 at WOL 0–0 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 3 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawSunderland
WilliamHill 1.83 3.50 4.20
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.33
bet365 1.80 3.60 4.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Sunderland: prediction and result

Everton hosted Sunderland in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, and Sunderland won 1–3 away from home.

Everton are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Crystal Palace.

Sunderland are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for Everton, 3.60 for the draw and 4.33 for Sunderland. The bookmakers make Everton favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 46% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 46%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.17. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.