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Manchester United v Nottingham Forest prediction

Sun 17 May, 12:30 Premier League Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester United to win 58%
Man United 58% Draw 22% Nott'm Forest 20%
Best price1.55 bet365 Fair price1.72 from our 58%

How we got to 58%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 61%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 58%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games L W W W D
1–2 v LEE 1–0 at CHE 2–1 v BRE 3–2 v LIV 0–0 at SUN
Nottingham Forest All games D W W W D
1–1 v AVL 4–1 v BUR 5–0 at SUN 3–1 at CHE 1–1 v NEW

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes63% Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawNott'm Forest
bet365 1.55 4.50 5.25
WilliamHill 1.53 4.20 5.50
Betfair 1.50 4.33 5.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May and won 3–2.

Manchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Sunderland.

Nottingham Forest are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 14 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw at home to Newcastle United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.55 for Man United, 4.50 for the draw and 5.50 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 58% chance. The market puts it at 61% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 58%. The best price, 1.55 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.72. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.