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Leeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sun 17 May, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 40%
Leeds 34% Draw 26% Brighton 40%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.47 from our 40%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 32%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games W W D W D
2–1 at MUN 3–0 v WOL 2–2 at BOU 3–1 v BUR 1–1 at TOT
Brighton & Hove Albion All games W D W L W
2–0 at BUR 2–2 at TOT 3–0 v CHE 1–3 at NEW 3–0 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 2 of Leeds United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawBrighton
Betfair 3.50 3.50 2.00
WilliamHill 3.40 3.50 2.05
bet365 3.40 3.60 2.05
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May and won 1–0.

Leeds United are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Leeds, 3.60 for the draw and 2.05 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 32%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.