How we got to 40%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United
All games
W
W
D
W
D
Brighton & Hove Albion
All games
W
D
W
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersLeeds United v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result
Leeds United hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May and won 1–0.
Leeds United are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Tottenham Hotspur.
Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 11 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.50 for Leeds, 3.60 for the draw and 2.05 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 32%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.47. The pick lost.
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