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Newcastle United v West Ham United prediction

Sun 17 May, 17:30 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Newcastle United to win 49%
Newcastle 49% Draw 24% West Ham 27%
Best price2.05 WilliamHill Fair price2.04 from our 49%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 46%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 53%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNewcastle United to win 49%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games L L L W D
1–2 at CRY 1–2 v BOU 0–1 at ARS 3–1 v BHA 1–1 at NFO
West Ham United All games W D W L L
4–0 v WOL 0–0 at CRY 2–1 v EVE 0–3 at BRE 0–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 6 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of West Ham United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawWest Ham
WilliamHill 2.05 3.80 3.10
bet365 2.05 3.90 3.20
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.20
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v West Ham United: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted West Ham United in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May and won 3–1.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at Nottingham Forest.

West Ham United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.05 for Newcastle, 3.90 for the draw and 3.20 for West Ham. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 46% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Newcastle United to win, with a 49% chance. The market puts it at 46% and our match model at 53%, and blending those with recent form gives 49%. The best price, 2.05 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.04, so there is value in it. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.