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Manchester United v Newcastle United prediction

Fri 26 Dec, 20:00 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester United to win 42%
Man United 42% Draw 25% Newcastle 32%
Best price2.50 WilliamHill Fair price2.37 from our 42%

How we got to 42%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 49%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 42%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games W D W D L
2–1 at CRY 1–1 v WHU 4–1 at WOL 4–4 v BOU 1–2 at AVL
Newcastle United All games W D W L D
4–1 at EVE 2–2 v TOT 2–1 v BUR 0–1 at SUN 2–2 v CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester United's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawNewcastle
WilliamHill 2.50 3.50 2.62
bet365 2.50 3.60 2.70
Betfair 2.45 3.60 2.63
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Friday 26 December and won 1–0.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 12 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Aston Villa.

Newcastle United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.50 for Man United, 3.60 for the draw and 2.70 for Newcastle. The bookmakers see little between Manchester United and Newcastle United here.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 42% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 49%, and blending those with recent form gives 42%. The best price, 2.50 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.37, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.