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Nottingham Forest v Manchester City prediction

Sat 27 Dec, 12:30 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 57%
Nott'm Forest 20% Draw 22% Man City 57%
Best price1.62 WilliamHill Fair price1.74 from our 57%

How we got to 57%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 59%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 55%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 57%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest All games L W L W L
0–2 v BHA 1–0 at WOL 0–3 at EVE 3–0 v TOT 0–1 at FUL
Manchester City All games W W W W W
3–2 v LEE 5–4 at FUL 3–0 v SUN 3–0 at CRY 3–0 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes58% Both teams scored in 2 of Nottingham Forest's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Manchester City's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNott'm ForestDrawMan City
Betfair 5.50 4.20 1.62
WilliamHill 5.00 4.00 1.62
bet365 5.00 4.20 1.61
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Nottingham Forest v Manchester City: prediction and result

Nottingham Forest hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday 27 December, and Manchester City won 1–2 away from home.

Nottingham Forest are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Fulham.

Manchester City are in strong form: 5 won, 0 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 15 points from a possible 15. They have scored 17 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.50 for Nott'm Forest, 4.20 for the draw and 1.62 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 60% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 59% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.62 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.74. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.