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Sunderland v Leeds United prediction

Sun 28 Dec, 14:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Sunderland to win 36%
Sunderland 36% Draw 29% Leeds 35%
Best price2.90 bet365 Fair price2.78 from our 36%

How we got to 36%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 33%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 40%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSunderland to win 36%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games W D L W D
3–2 v BOU 1–1 at LIV 0–3 at MCI 1–0 v NEW 0–0 at BHA
Leeds United All games L W D D W
2–3 at MCI 3–1 v CHE 3–3 v LIV 1–1 at BRE 4–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Sunderland's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Leeds United's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawLeeds
bet365 2.90 3.20 2.55
Betfair 2.80 3.00 2.60
WilliamHill 2.75 3.00 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Leeds United: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Sunday 28 December, and it finished 1–1.

Sunderland are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Sunderland, 3.20 for the draw and 2.62 for Leeds. The bookmakers see little between Leeds United and Sunderland here.

Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 36% chance. The market puts it at 33% and our match model at 40%, and blending those with recent form gives 36%. The best price, 2.90 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.78, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.