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Burnley v Everton prediction

Sat 27 Dec, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Everton to win 43%
Burnley 28% Draw 29% Everton 43%
Best price2.20 Betfair Fair price2.33 from our 43%

How we got to 43%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 44%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceEverton to win 43%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L L L L D
1–3 at BRE 0–1 v CRY 1–2 at NEW 2–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU
Everton All games L W W L L
1–4 v NEW 1–0 at BOU 3–0 v NFO 0–2 at CHE 0–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 1 of Burnley's last 5 home games. Both teams scored in 1 of Everton's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawEverton
Betfair 3.75 3.10 2.20
bet365 3.70 3.20 2.15
WilliamHill 3.60 3.00 2.15
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Everton: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Everton in the Premier League on Saturday 27 December, and it finished 0–0.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at AFC Bournemouth.

Everton are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.75 for Burnley, 3.20 for the draw and 2.20 for Everton. The bookmakers make Everton favourites, at about 44% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Everton to win, with a 43% chance. The market puts it at 44% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 43%. The best price, 2.20 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.33. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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1–0 FT Manchester United v Newcastle United Manchester United to win 42% 1–2 FT Nottingham Forest v Manchester City Manchester City to win 57% 2–1 FT Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers Liverpool to win 76% 2–1 FT Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion Arsenal to win 69% 0–1 FT West Ham United v Fulham Fulham to win 44% 4–1 FT Brentford v AFC Bournemouth Brentford to win 44% 1–2 FT Chelsea v Aston Villa Chelsea to win 53% 1–1 FT Sunderland v Leeds United Sunderland to win 36%
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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.