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Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 27 Dec, 15:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 69%
Arsenal 69% Draw 19% Brighton 12%
Best price1.33 WilliamHill Fair price1.46 from our 69%

How we got to 69%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 71%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 69%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal All games D W L W W
1–1 at CHE 2–0 v BRE 1–2 at AVL 2–1 v WOL 1–0 at EVE
Brighton & Hove Albion All games W L D L D
2–0 at NFO 3–4 v AVL 1–1 v WHU 0–2 at LIV 0–0 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Arsenal's last 4 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 5 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerArsenalDrawBrighton
WilliamHill 1.33 5.00 8.50
Betfair 1.33 5.00 9.50
bet365 1.30 5.75 8.50
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Arsenal v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Arsenal hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 27 December and won 2–1.

Arsenal are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Everton.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.33 for Arsenal, 5.75 for the draw and 9.50 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 73% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 69% chance. The market puts it at 71% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 69%. The best price, 1.33 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.46. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.