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Burnley v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 15:00 Premier League Full time 0–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 54%
Burnley 21% Draw 25% Brighton 54%
Best price1.73 Betfair Fair price1.85 from our 54%

How we got to 54%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 57%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 50%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 54%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games D L L D L
1–1 at CHE 3–4 v BRE 0–2 at EVE 0–0 v BOU 1–3 at FUL
Brighton & Hove Albion All games W W L W W
2–0 at BRE 2–1 v NFO 0–1 v ARS 1–0 at SUN 2–1 v LIV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawBrighton
WilliamHill 5.00 4.00 1.62
Betfair 5.00 3.50 1.73
bet365 5.00 4.20 1.65
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 11 April, and Brighton & Hove Albion won 0–2 away from home.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 2 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 2 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Fulham.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in strong form: 4 won, 0 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 12 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Liverpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 5.00 for Burnley, 4.20 for the draw and 1.73 for Brighton. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 57% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 54% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 50%, and blending those with recent form gives 54%. The best price, 1.73 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 1.85. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.