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Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Sun 12 Apr, 14:00 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Sunderland to win 37%
Sunderland 37% Draw 28% Tottenham 35%
Best price2.90 bet365 Fair price2.73 from our 37%

How we got to 37%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceSunderland to win 37%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games L D W L W
1–3 v FUL 1–1 at BOU 1–0 at LEE 0–1 v BHA 2–1 at NEW
Tottenham Hotspur All games L L L D L
1–4 v ARS 1–2 at FUL 1–3 v CRY 1–1 at LIV 0–3 v NFO

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes54% Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawTottenham
bet365 2.90 3.20 2.55
WilliamHill 2.75 3.20 2.50
Betfair 2.75 3.20 2.55
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April and won 1–0.

Sunderland are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Newcastle United.

Tottenham Hotspur are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 13 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat at home to Nottingham Forest.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.90 for Sunderland, 3.20 for the draw and 2.55 for Tottenham. The bookmakers see little between Tottenham Hotspur and Sunderland here.

Our prediction: Sunderland to win, with a 37% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 37%. The best price, 2.90 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.73, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.