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Liverpool v Fulham prediction

Sat 11 Apr, 17:30 Premier League Full time 2–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 68%
Liverpool 68% Draw 18% Fulham 15%
Best price1.70 WilliamHill Fair price1.48 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 69%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 65%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games W W L D L
1–0 at NFO 5–2 v WHU 1–2 at WOL 1–1 v TOT 1–2 at BHA
Fulham All games W W L D W
3–1 at SUN 2–1 v TOT 0–1 v WHU 0–0 at NFO 3–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Fulham's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawFulham
WilliamHill 1.70 4.00 4.40
bet365 1.70 4.20 4.50
Betfair 1.01 34.00 501.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Fulham: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 11 April and won 2–0.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Fulham are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.70 for Liverpool, 34.00 for the draw and 501.00 for Fulham. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 95% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 69% and our match model at 65%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.70 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.