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Crystal Palace v Newcastle United prediction

Sun 12 Apr, 14:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Crystal Palace to win 38%
Crystal Palace 38% Draw 27% Newcastle 34%
Best price3.00 bet365 Fair price2.60 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 32%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 48%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceCrystal Palace to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Crystal Palace All games L W L W D
2–3 v BUR 1–0 v WOL 1–2 at MUN 3–1 at TOT 0–0 v LEE
Newcastle United All games L L W W L
1–2 at MCI 2–3 v EVE 2–1 v MUN 1–0 at CHE 1–2 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes56% Both teams scored in 3 of Crystal Palace's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerCrystal PalaceDrawNewcastle
bet365 3.00 3.30 2.40
Betfair 2.90 3.20 2.45
WilliamHill 2.88 3.20 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Crystal Palace hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April and won 2–1.

Crystal Palace are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Leeds United.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.00 for Crystal Palace, 3.30 for the draw and 2.45 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Newcastle United favourites, at about 39% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Crystal Palace to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 32% and our match model at 48%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 3.00 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 2.60, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.