How we got to 39%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest
All games
L
L
D
D
W
Aston Villa
All games
D
L
L
L
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersNottingham Forest v Aston Villa: prediction and result
Nottingham Forest hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April, and it finished 1–1.
Nottingham Forest are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.
Aston Villa are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to West Ham United.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Nott'm Forest, 3.50 for the draw and 3.00 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Nottingham Forest favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Nottingham Forest to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.58. The pick lost.
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