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Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa prediction

Sun 12 Apr, 14:00 Premier League Full time 1–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Nottingham Forest to win 39%
Nott'm Forest 39% Draw 27% Aston Villa 35%
Best price2.40 WilliamHill Fair price2.58 from our 39%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNottingham Forest to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Nottingham Forest All games L L D D W
0–1 v LIV 1–2 at BHA 2–2 at MCI 0–0 v FUL 3–0 at TOT
Aston Villa All games D L L L W
1–1 v LEE 0–2 at WOL 1–4 v CHE 1–3 at MUN 2–0 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 1 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNott'm ForestDrawAston Villa
WilliamHill 2.40 3.20 2.90
bet365 2.30 3.40 3.00
Betfair 2.25 3.50 2.88
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Nottingham Forest hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April, and it finished 1–1.

Nottingham Forest are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Aston Villa are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 2–0 win at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Nott'm Forest, 3.50 for the draw and 3.00 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers make Nottingham Forest favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Nottingham Forest to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.40 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.58. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.