How we got to 44%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea
All games
D
L
W
L
L
Manchester City
All games
W
W
W
D
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersChelsea v Manchester City: prediction and result
Chelsea hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April, and Manchester City won 0–3 away from home.
Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Everton.
Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at West Ham United.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Chelsea, 3.90 for the draw and 1.91 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick won.
More Premier League predictions
All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.