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Chelsea v Manchester City prediction

Sun 12 Apr, 16:30 Premier League Full time 0–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 44%
Chelsea 32% Draw 25% Man City 44%
Best price1.91 WilliamHill Fair price2.29 from our 44%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 49%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 35%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 44%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games D L W L L
1–1 v BUR 1–2 at ARS 4–1 at AVL 0–1 v NEW 0–3 at EVE
Manchester City All games W W W D D
3–0 v FUL 2–1 v NEW 1–0 at LEE 2–2 v NFO 1–1 at WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 4 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawMan City
WilliamHill 3.60 3.80 1.91
bet365 3.60 3.90 1.90
Betfair 3.50 3.75 1.91
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Manchester City: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Sunday 12 April, and Manchester City won 0–3 away from home.

Chelsea are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Everton.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–1 draw away at West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 3.60 for Chelsea, 3.90 for the draw and 1.91 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 49% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 44% chance. The market puts it at 49% and our match model at 35%, and blending those with recent form gives 44%. The best price, 1.91 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.29. The pick won.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.