How we got to 57%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United
All games
W
W
L
W
D
Leeds United
All games
D
L
L
D
D
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersManchester United v Leeds United: prediction and result
Manchester United hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Monday 13 April, and Leeds United won 1–2 away from home.
Manchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at AFC Bournemouth.
Leeds United are short of results: 0 won, 3 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 1 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Brentford.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.65 for Man United, 4.10 for the draw and 5.00 for Leeds. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 58% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 57% chance. The market puts it at 57% and our match model at 55%, and blending those with recent form gives 57%. The best price, 1.65 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.77. The pick lost.
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