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Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea prediction

Tue 21 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 39%
Brighton 39% Draw 26% Chelsea 35%
Best price2.30 WilliamHill Fair price2.55 from our 39%

How we got to 39%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 41%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 36%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 39%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Brighton & Hove Albion All games L W W W D
0–1 v ARS 1–0 at SUN 2–1 v LIV 2–0 at BUR 2–2 at TOT
Chelsea All games W L L L L
4–1 at AVL 0–1 v NEW 0–3 at EVE 0–3 v MCI 0–1 v MUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 4 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBrightonDrawChelsea
WilliamHill 2.30 3.40 2.88
Betfair 2.25 3.40 3.00
bet365 2.25 3.60 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Brighton & Hove Albion v Chelsea: prediction and result

Brighton & Hove Albion hosted Chelsea in the Premier League on Tuesday 21 April and won 3–0.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at Tottenham Hotspur.

Chelsea are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 9 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Manchester United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Brighton, 3.60 for the draw and 3.00 for Chelsea. The bookmakers make Brighton & Hove Albion favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 39% chance. The market puts it at 41% and our match model at 36%, and blending those with recent form gives 39%. The best price, 2.30 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.55. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.