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Arsenal v Newcastle United prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 17:30 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Arsenal to win 68%
Arsenal 68% Draw 19% Newcastle 12%
Best price1.42 bet365 Fair price1.46 from our 68%

How we got to 68%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 66%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceArsenal to win 68%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal All games W W W L L
2–1 v CHE 1–0 at BHA 2–0 v EVE 1–2 v BOU 1–2 at MCI
Newcastle United All games W W L L L
2–1 v MUN 1–0 at CHE 1–2 v SUN 1–2 at CRY 1–2 v BOU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Arsenal's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Newcastle United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerArsenalDrawNewcastle
bet365 1.42 4.75 7.00
WilliamHill 1.40 4.60 7.00
Betfair 1.22 6.00 13.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Arsenal v Newcastle United: prediction and result

Arsenal hosted Newcastle United in the Premier League on Saturday 25 April and won 1–0.

Arsenal are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at Manchester City.

Newcastle United are in mixed form: 2 won, 0 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 6 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat at home to AFC Bournemouth.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.42 for Arsenal, 6.00 for the draw and 13.00 for Newcastle. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 74% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 68% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 66%, and blending those with recent form gives 68%. The best price, 1.42 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.46. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.