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Sunderland v Nottingham Forest prediction

Fri 24 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 0–5
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Nottingham Forest to win 35%
Sunderland 35% Draw 30% Nott'm Forest 35%
Best price2.80 WilliamHill Fair price2.83 from our 35%

How we got to 35%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 34%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 37%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceNottingham Forest to win 35%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Sunderland All games W L W W L
1–0 at LEE 0–1 v BHA 2–1 at NEW 1–0 v TOT 3–4 at AVL
Nottingham Forest All games D D W D W
2–2 at MCI 0–0 v FUL 3–0 at TOT 1–1 v AVL 4–1 v BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes51% Both teams scored in 2 of Sunderland's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerSunderlandDrawNott'm Forest
bet365 2.70 3.20 2.70
Betfair 2.63 3.00 2.80
WilliamHill 2.62 3.00 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Sunderland v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result

Sunderland hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Friday 24 April, and Nottingham Forest won 0–5 away from home.

Sunderland are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 3–4 defeat away at Aston Villa.

Nottingham Forest are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 4–1 win at home to Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Sunderland, 3.20 for the draw and 2.80 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers see little between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest here.

Our prediction: Nottingham Forest to win, with a 35% chance. The market puts it at 34% and our match model at 37%, and blending those with recent form gives 35%. The best price, 2.80 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.83. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.