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Fulham v Aston Villa prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 12:30 Premier League Full time 1–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Fulham to win 38%
Fulham 38% Draw 26% Aston Villa 36%
Best price2.63 Betfair Fair price2.62 from our 38%

How we got to 38%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 37%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 41%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceFulham to win 38%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Fulham All games L D W L D
0–1 v WHU 0–0 at NFO 3–1 v BUR 0–2 at LIV 0–0 at BRE
Aston Villa All games L L W D W
1–4 v CHE 1–3 at MUN 2–0 v WHU 1–1 at NFO 4–3 v SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes62% Both teams scored in 5 of Fulham's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerFulhamDrawAston Villa
Betfair 2.63 3.00 2.75
bet365 2.55 3.60 2.62
WilliamHill 2.50 3.40 2.62
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Fulham v Aston Villa: prediction and result

Fulham hosted Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday 25 April and won 1–0.

Fulham are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 3 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw away at Brentford.

Aston Villa are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 4–3 win at home to Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.63 for Fulham, 3.60 for the draw and 2.75 for Aston Villa. The bookmakers see little between Fulham and Aston Villa here.

Our prediction: Fulham to win, with a 38% chance. The market puts it at 37% and our match model at 41%, and blending those with recent form gives 38%. The best price, 2.63 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.62, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.