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Liverpool v Crystal Palace prediction

Sat 25 Apr, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Liverpool to win 65%
Liverpool 65% Draw 19% Crystal Palace 16%
Best price1.60 bet365 Fair price1.54 from our 65%

How we got to 65%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 70%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 57%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLiverpool to win 65%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Liverpool All games L D L W W
1–2 at WOL 1–1 v TOT 1–2 at BHA 2–0 v FUL 2–1 at EVE
Crystal Palace All games L W D W D
1–2 at MUN 3–1 at TOT 0–0 v LEE 2–1 v NEW 0–0 v WHU

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 5 of Liverpool's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Crystal Palace's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLiverpoolDrawCrystal Palace
bet365 1.60 4.50 5.00
WilliamHill 1.55 4.33 5.00
Betfair 1.05 13.00 51.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Liverpool v Crystal Palace: prediction and result

Liverpool hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Saturday 25 April and won 3–1.

Liverpool are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Everton.

Crystal Palace are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to West Ham United.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.60 for Liverpool, 13.00 for the draw and 51.00 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make Liverpool favourites, at about 87% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Liverpool to win, with a 65% chance. The market puts it at 70% and our match model at 57%, and blending those with recent form gives 65%. The best price, 1.60 at bet365, is longer than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.