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Burnley v Manchester City prediction

Wed 22 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 0–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester City to win 76%
Burnley 9% Draw 15% Man City 76%
Best price1.15 WilliamHill Fair price1.32 from our 76%

How we got to 76%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 83%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 65%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 76%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Burnley All games L D L L L
0–2 at EVE 0–0 v BOU 1–3 at FUL 0–2 v BHA 1–4 at NFO
Manchester City All games W D D W W
1–0 at LEE 2–2 v NFO 1–1 at WHU 3–0 at CHE 2–1 v ARS

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes47% Both teams scored in 3 of Burnley's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerBurnleyDrawMan City
Betfair 20.00 9.50 1.13
WilliamHill 15.00 8.00 1.15
bet365 15.00 8.50 1.14
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Burnley v Manchester City: prediction and result

Burnley hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Wednesday 22 April, and Manchester City won 0–1 away from home.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 1–4 defeat away at Nottingham Forest.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Arsenal.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 20.00 for Burnley, 9.50 for the draw and 1.15 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 85% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 76% chance. The market puts it at 83% and our match model at 65%, and blending those with recent form gives 76%. The best price, 1.15 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.32. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.