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AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United prediction

Wed 22 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 2–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
AFC Bournemouth to win 48%
AFC Bournemouth 48% Draw 26% Leeds 26%
Best price1.83 WilliamHill Fair price2.09 from our 48%

How we got to 48%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 52%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 48%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games D D D W W
0–0 v BRE 0–0 at BUR 2–2 v MUN 2–1 at ARS 2–1 at NEW
Leeds United All games L D D W W
0–1 v SUN 0–0 at CRY 0–0 v BRE 2–1 at MUN 3–0 v WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes60% Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawLeeds
WilliamHill 1.83 3.70 3.90
Betfair 1.83 3.75 3.90
bet365 1.80 3.90 4.10
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Leeds United: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Leeds United in the Premier League on Wednesday 22 April, and it finished 2–2.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win away at Newcastle United.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 5 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.83 for AFC Bournemouth, 3.90 for the draw and 4.10 for Leeds. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 52% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 48% chance. The market puts it at 52% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 48%. The best price, 1.83 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.09. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.