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Manchester United v Brentford prediction

Mon 27 Apr, 20:00 Premier League Full time 2–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester United to win 50%
Man United 50% Draw 24% Brentford 26%
Best price2.00 WilliamHill Fair price2.00 from our 50%

How we got to 50%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 48%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 54%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 50%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games L W D L W
1–2 at NEW 3–1 v AVL 2–2 at BOU 1–2 v LEE 1–0 at CHE
Brentford All games D D D D D
0–0 at BOU 2–2 v WOL 0–0 at LEE 2–2 v EVE 0–0 v FUL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 4 of Manchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brentford's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawBrentford
WilliamHill 2.00 3.80 3.30
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.60
bet365 1.95 3.75 3.60
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Brentford: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Brentford in the Premier League on Monday 27 April and won 2–1.

Manchester United are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Chelsea.

Brentford are in mixed form: 0 won, 5 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 0–0 draw at home to Fulham.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.00 for Man United, 3.80 for the draw and 3.60 for Brentford. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 48% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 50% chance. The market puts it at 48% and our match model at 54%, and blending those with recent form gives 50%. The best price, 2.00 at WilliamHill, is longer than our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.