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Leeds United v Burnley prediction

Fri 1 May, 20:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Leeds United to win 66%
Leeds 66% Draw 20% Burnley 13%
Best price1.38 bet365 Fair price1.51 from our 66%

How we got to 66%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 68%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 64%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceLeeds United to win 66%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Leeds United All games D D W W D
0–0 at CRY 0–0 v BRE 2–1 at MUN 3–0 v WOL 2–2 at BOU
Burnley All games D L L L L
0–0 v BOU 1–3 at FUL 0–2 v BHA 1–4 at NFO 0–1 v MCI

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes48% Both teams scored in 1 of Leeds United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Burnley's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerLeedsDrawBurnley
bet365 1.38 4.75 8.50
WilliamHill 1.36 4.60 7.50
Betfair 1.36 4.50 8.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Leeds United v Burnley: prediction and result

Leeds United hosted Burnley in the Premier League on Friday 1 May and won 3–1.

Leeds United are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw away at AFC Bournemouth.

Burnley are short of results: 0 won, 1 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 1 points from a possible 15. They have scored 2 and conceded 10 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat at home to Manchester City.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.38 for Leeds, 4.75 for the draw and 8.50 for Burnley. The bookmakers make Leeds United favourites, at about 69% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Leeds United to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 68% and our match model at 64%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.38 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.51. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.