How we got to 66%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Arsenal
All games
W
W
L
L
W
Fulham
All games
D
W
L
D
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersArsenal v Fulham: prediction and result
Arsenal hosted Fulham in the Premier League on Saturday 2 May and won 3–0.
Arsenal are in decent form: 3 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Newcastle United.
Fulham are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win at home to Aston Villa.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.45 for Arsenal, 4.50 for the draw and 7.00 for Fulham. The bookmakers make Arsenal favourites, at about 65% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Arsenal to win, with a 66% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 68%, and blending those with recent form gives 66%. The best price, 1.45 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.51. The pick won.
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All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.