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Manchester United v Liverpool prediction

Sun 3 May, 15:30 Premier League Full time 3–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
Manchester United to win 41%
Man United 41% Draw 25% Liverpool 34%
Best price2.40 Betfair Fair price2.44 from our 41%

How we got to 41%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 40%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 42%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester United to win 41%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Manchester United All games W D L W W
3–1 v AVL 2–2 at BOU 1–2 v LEE 1–0 at CHE 2–1 v BRE
Liverpool All games D L W W W
1–1 v TOT 1–2 at BHA 2–0 v FUL 2–1 at EVE 3–1 v CRY

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes67% Both teams scored in 5 of Manchester United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerMan UnitedDrawLiverpool
Betfair 2.40 3.60 2.80
bet365 2.35 3.75 2.80
WilliamHill 2.30 3.50 2.80
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Manchester United v Liverpool: prediction and result

Manchester United hosted Liverpool in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May and won 3–2.

Manchester United are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–1 win at home to Brentford.

Liverpool are in decent form: 3 won, 1 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 10 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 3–1 win at home to Crystal Palace.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.40 for Man United, 3.75 for the draw and 2.80 for Liverpool. The bookmakers make Manchester United favourites, at about 40% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester United to win, with a 41% chance. The market puts it at 40% and our match model at 42%, and blending those with recent form gives 41%. The best price, 2.40 at Betfair, is shorter than our fair price of 2.44. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.