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Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion prediction

Sat 2 May, 15:00 Premier League Full time 3–1
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Brighton & Hove Albion to win 40%
Newcastle 34% Draw 26% Brighton 40%
Best price2.45 WilliamHill Fair price2.48 from our 40%

How we got to 40%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 38%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 43%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceBrighton & Hove Albion to win 40%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Newcastle United All games W L L L L
1–0 at CHE 1–2 v SUN 1–2 at CRY 1–2 v BOU 0–1 at ARS
Brighton & Hove Albion All games W W W D W
1–0 at SUN 2–1 v LIV 2–0 at BUR 2–2 at TOT 3–0 v CHE

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes59% Both teams scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 2 of Brighton & Hove Albion's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerNewcastleDrawBrighton
bet365 2.70 3.60 2.45
Betfair 2.63 3.50 2.38
WilliamHill 2.62 3.40 2.45
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Newcastle United v Brighton & Hove Albion: prediction and result

Newcastle United hosted Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League on Saturday 2 May and won 3–1.

Newcastle United are short of results: 1 won, 0 drawn and 4 lost from their last 5, 3 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Arsenal.

Brighton & Hove Albion are in strong form: 4 won, 1 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 13 points from a possible 15. They have scored 10 and conceded 3 in that run. Their last game was a 3–0 win at home to Chelsea.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.70 for Newcastle, 3.60 for the draw and 2.45 for Brighton. The bookmakers see little between Brighton & Hove Albion and Newcastle United here.

Our prediction: Brighton & Hove Albion to win, with a 40% chance. The market puts it at 38% and our match model at 43%, and blending those with recent form gives 40%. The best price, 2.45 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 2.48. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.