How we got to 59%
Three sources, blended. How it works →Form
Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea
All games
L
L
L
L
L
Nottingham Forest
All games
D
W
D
W
W
Both teams to score
Revealed after full timeMatch result odds
GB-licensed bookmakersChelsea v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result
Chelsea hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Monday 4 May, and Nottingham Forest won 1–3 away from home.
Chelsea are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 0 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.
Nottingham Forest are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 5–0 win away at Sunderland.
The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.42 for Chelsea, 4.75 for the draw and 7.00 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 67% once the margin is taken out.
Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 67% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.42 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.70. The pick lost.
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All Premier League picks that week →Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.