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Chelsea v Nottingham Forest prediction

Mon 4 May, 15:00 Premier League Full time 1–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Chelsea to win 59%
Chelsea 59% Draw 22% Nott'm Forest 19%
Best price1.42 bet365 Fair price1.70 from our 59%
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 67%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 47%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceChelsea to win 59%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Chelsea All games L L L L L
0–1 v NEW 0–3 at EVE 0–3 v MCI 0–1 v MUN 0–3 at BHA
Nottingham Forest All games D W D W W
0–0 v FUL 3–0 at TOT 1–1 v AVL 4–1 v BUR 5–0 at SUN

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes53% Both teams scored in 3 of Chelsea's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Nottingham Forest's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerChelseaDrawNott'm Forest
bet365 1.42 4.75 7.00
WilliamHill 1.40 4.60 7.00
Betfair 1.40 4.75 7.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Chelsea v Nottingham Forest: prediction and result

Chelsea hosted Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Monday 4 May, and Nottingham Forest won 1–3 away from home.

Chelsea are short of results: 0 won, 0 drawn and 5 lost from their last 5, 0 points from a possible 15. They have scored 0 and conceded 11 in that run. Their last game was a 0–3 defeat away at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Nottingham Forest are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 13 and conceded 2 in that run. Their last game was a 5–0 win away at Sunderland.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.42 for Chelsea, 4.75 for the draw and 7.00 for Nott'm Forest. The bookmakers make Chelsea favourites, at about 67% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Chelsea to win, with a 59% chance. The market puts it at 67% and our match model at 47%, and blending those with recent form gives 59%. The best price, 1.42 at bet365, is shorter than our fair price of 1.70. The pick lost.

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.