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AFC Bournemouth v Crystal Palace prediction

Sun 3 May, 14:00 Premier League Full time 3–0
Our pick, revealed after full time Won
AFC Bournemouth to win 51%
AFC Bournemouth 51% Draw 24% Crystal Palace 25%
Best price1.57 WilliamHill Fair price1.97 from our 51%

How we got to 51%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 60%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 38%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAFC Bournemouth to win 51%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
AFC Bournemouth All games D D W W D
0–0 at BUR 2–2 v MUN 2–1 at ARS 2–1 at NEW 2–2 v LEE
Crystal Palace All games W D W D L
3–1 at TOT 0–0 v LEE 2–1 v NEW 0–0 v WHU 1–3 at LIV

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes61% Both teams scored in 5 of AFC Bournemouth's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 5 of Crystal Palace's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAFC BournemouthDrawCrystal Palace
WilliamHill 1.57 4.00 5.00
Betfair 1.57 4.10 5.50
bet365 1.55 4.33 5.25
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

AFC Bournemouth v Crystal Palace: prediction and result

AFC Bournemouth hosted Crystal Palace in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May and won 3–0.

AFC Bournemouth are in decent form: 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 9 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 6 in that run. Their last game was a 2–2 draw at home to Leeds United.

Crystal Palace are in decent form: 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost from their last 5, 8 points from a possible 15. They have scored 6 and conceded 5 in that run. Their last game was a 1–3 defeat away at Liverpool.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 1.57 for AFC Bournemouth, 4.33 for the draw and 5.50 for Crystal Palace. The bookmakers make AFC Bournemouth favourites, at about 61% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 51% chance. The market puts it at 60% and our match model at 38%, and blending those with recent form gives 51%. The best price, 1.57 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.97. The pick won.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.