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Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Sun 3 May, 19:00 Premier League Full time 1–2
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Aston Villa to win 47%
Aston Villa 47% Draw 25% Tottenham 27%
Best price2.30 Betfair Fair price2.11 from our 47%

How we got to 47%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 42%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 56%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceAston Villa to win 47%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Aston Villa All games L W D W L
1–3 at MUN 2–0 v WHU 1–1 at NFO 4–3 v SUN 0–1 at FUL
Tottenham Hotspur All games D L L D W
1–1 at LIV 0–3 v NFO 0–1 at SUN 2–2 v BHA 1–0 at WOL

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes55% Both teams scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerAston VillaDrawTottenham
Betfair 2.30 3.60 3.10
WilliamHill 2.25 3.40 2.90
bet365 2.25 3.60 3.00
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur: prediction and result

Aston Villa hosted Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May, and Tottenham Hotspur won 1–2 away from home.

Aston Villa are in decent form: 2 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 7 points from a possible 15. They have scored 8 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 0–1 defeat away at Fulham.

Tottenham Hotspur are in mixed form: 1 won, 2 drawn and 2 lost from their last 5, 5 points from a possible 15. They have scored 4 and conceded 7 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Wolverhampton Wanderers.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 2.30 for Aston Villa, 3.60 for the draw and 3.10 for Tottenham. The bookmakers make Aston Villa favourites, at about 42% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Aston Villa to win, with a 47% chance. The market puts it at 42% and our match model at 56%, and blending those with recent form gives 47%. The best price, 2.30 at Betfair, is longer than our fair price of 2.11, so there is value in it. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.