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Everton v Manchester City prediction

Mon 4 May, 20:00 Premier League Full time 3–3
Our pick, revealed after full time Lost
Manchester City to win 63%
Everton 16% Draw 21% Man City 63%
Best price1.44 WilliamHill Fair price1.59 from our 63%

How we got to 63%

Three sources, blended. How it works →
Bookmaker oddsWhat the market thinks, margin removed 65%
Match modelGoals, chances created and conceded 59%
Recent formLast 5 for each side, home and away —
Blended chanceManchester City to win 63%

Form

Last 5, oldest first
Everton All games L W D L L
0–2 at ARS 3–0 v CHE 2–2 at BRE 1–2 v LIV 1–2 at WHU
Manchester City All games D D W W W
2–2 v NFO 1–1 at WHU 3–0 at CHE 2–1 v ARS 1–0 at BUR

Both teams to score

Revealed after full time
BTTS Yes52% Both teams scored in 3 of Everton's last 6 home games. Both teams scored in 3 of Manchester City's last 6 away games.

Match result odds

GB-licensed bookmakers
BookmakerEvertonDrawMan City
Betfair 7.00 4.75 1.44
bet365 6.50 4.75 1.44
WilliamHill 6.00 4.50 1.44
Best price in each column highlighted. Odds can change, so check before you bet.

Everton v Manchester City: prediction and result

Everton hosted Manchester City in the Premier League on Monday 4 May, and it finished 3–3.

Everton are in mixed form: 1 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost from their last 5, 4 points from a possible 15. They have scored 7 and conceded 8 in that run. Their last game was a 1–2 defeat away at West Ham United.

Manchester City are in strong form: 3 won, 2 drawn and 0 lost from their last 5, 11 points from a possible 15. They have scored 9 and conceded 4 in that run. Their last game was a 1–0 win away at Burnley.

The best prices across 3 UK bookmakers are 7.00 for Everton, 4.75 for the draw and 1.44 for Man City. The bookmakers make Manchester City favourites, at about 66% once the margin is taken out.

Our prediction: Manchester City to win, with a 63% chance. The market puts it at 65% and our match model at 59%, and blending those with recent form gives 63%. The best price, 1.44 at WilliamHill, is shorter than our fair price of 1.59. The pick lost.

How our predictions work · Premier League table

More Premier League predictions

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Best prices from GB-licensed bookmakers. Odds can change; check before betting.